Economic Activity
What will Germany's quarterly change in real GDP be?
Germany GDP September 2027 · September 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Oct 29, 2027, 5:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Destatis.
This Contract is resolved based on the "Gross domestic product" press release, as published by Destatis, the official Federal Statistical Office of Germany. The press releases can be found here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above -1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above -2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above 0%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above 1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
- Above 2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q3 2027? (economy) (economic output) (macroeconomics).
Result confirmed by Destatis.
- Trading opened
- Nov 2, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 29, 2027, 5:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Oct 29, 2027
- Expected payout
- Oct 29, 2027
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.