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Temperatures

What will the temperature in New York City be?

New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$54 vol.
  • Above 42$50 vol.
    92%
    Closed
  • Above 43$4 vol.
    23%
    Closed
  • Above 44$1 vol.
    11%
    YesNo
  • Above 39
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 40
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 41
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 45
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 42 at 92%, ahead of Above 43 at 23%.

The market has $54 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 42 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 43Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 43 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 44 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 39Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 39 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 40 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 41 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 45 F as of 5 AM CT on November 15, 2026.

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 15, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 15, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

More New York City Hourly Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.