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Temperatures

What will the temperature in New York City be?

New York City Hourly Temperature 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$5 vol.

About this market

Traders price Above 44 at 66%, ahead of Above 46 at 18%.

The market has $5 in volume across 3 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

This Contract resolves based on the last temperature observation reported before or at the time listed in the Contract that occurs within the applicable hourly period in the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground for New York City (Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA)) on the date and time listed in the Contract.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 44 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 46 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 45 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 47Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 47 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 48 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 49 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the temperature in New York City exceeds 50 F as of 8 AM CT on November 15, 2026.

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 15, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 15, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

More New York City Hourly Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.