Economic Activity
US National Debt September 2027
US National Debt September 2027 · September 2027 · Trading open
$385 vol.
About this market
Traders price 38.0 at 98%, ahead of 39.0 at 97%.
The market has $385 in volume across 68 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.
Trading closes on Oct 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Treasury.
The national debt is composed of distinct types of debt, similar to an individual whose debt may consist of a mortgage, car loan, and credit cards. The different types of debt include non-marketable or marketable securities and whether it is debt held by the public or debt held by the government itself (known as intragovernmental). Strike values are measured in trillions of dollars.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- 38.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $38 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 39.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $39 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 40.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $40 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 41.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 42.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $42 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 43.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $43 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
Show rules for all 8 outcomesShow fewer
- 44.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $44 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
- 45.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $45 Trillion by the end of FY 2027.
Result confirmed by U.S. Treasury.
- Trading opened
- Sep 30, 2024
- Trading closes
- Oct 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Oct 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Oct 4, 2027
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Other dates in this series
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.