Open an account
Economic Activity

US National Debt September 2028

US National Debt September 2028 · September 2028 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Oct 1, 2028. The result is confirmed by U.S. Treasury.

The national debt is composed of distinct types of debt, similar to an individual whose debt may consist of a mortgage, car loan, and credit cards. The different types of debt include non-marketable or marketable securities and whether it is debt held by the public or debt held by the government itself (known as intragovernmental). Strike values are measured in trillions of dollars.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 38Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $38 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 38.5Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $38.5 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 39Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $39 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 39.5Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $39.5 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $40 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 40.5Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $40.5 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 41.5Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $41.5 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $42 Trillion by the end of FY 2028? (fiscal policy) (government borrowing) (public finances).

Result confirmed by U.S. Treasury.

Trading opened
Sep 28, 2026
Trading closes
Oct 1, 2028
Expected result
Oct 1, 2028
Expected payout
Oct 1, 2028

More US National Debt markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.