Economic Activity

US National Debt September 2030

US National Debt September 2030 · September 2030 · Trading open

$31 vol.
Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 45.0 at 62%, ahead of 46.0 at 44%.

The market has $31 in volume across 9 trades; the most recent was on Sep 6, 2026.

Trading closes on Oct 1, 2030. The result is confirmed by U.S. Treasury.

The national debt is composed of distinct types of debt, similar to an individual whose debt may consist of a mortgage, car loan, and credit cards. The different types of debt include non-marketable or marketable securities and whether it is debt held by the public or debt held by the government itself (known as intragovernmental). Strike values are measured in trillions of dollars.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 45.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $45 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 46.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $46 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 47.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 48.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $48 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 42.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $42 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 44.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $44 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • 49.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $49 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 50.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $50 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
  • 52.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $52 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.

Result confirmed by U.S. Treasury.

Trading opened
Jul 30, 2024
Trading closes
Oct 1, 2030
Expected result
Oct 1, 2030
Expected payout
Oct 2, 2030

More US National Debt markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.