US National Debt September 2030
US National Debt September 2030 · September 2030 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price 45.0 at 62%, ahead of 46.0 at 44%.
The market has $31 in volume across 9 trades; the most recent was on Sep 6, 2026.
Trading closes on Oct 1, 2030. The result is confirmed by U.S. Treasury.
The national debt is composed of distinct types of debt, similar to an individual whose debt may consist of a mortgage, car loan, and credit cards. The different types of debt include non-marketable or marketable securities and whether it is debt held by the public or debt held by the government itself (known as intragovernmental). Strike values are measured in trillions of dollars.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- 45.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $45 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 46.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $46 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 47.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 48.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $48 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 42.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $42 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 44.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $44 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- 49.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $49 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 50.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $50 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
- 52.0Resolves Yes if the US National Debt exceeds $52 Trillion by the end of FY 2030.
Result confirmed by U.S. Treasury.
- Trading opened
- Jul 30, 2024
- Trading closes
- Oct 1, 2030
- Expected result
- Oct 1, 2030
- Expected payout
- Oct 2, 2030
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.