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Temperatures

Global Temperature December 2027

Global Temperature December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open

$277 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 1 at 99%, ahead of Above 1.05 at 96%.

The market has $277 in volume across 63 trades; the most recent was on Oct 5, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 14, 2028. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The NOAA Merged Land Ocean Global Surface Temperature Analysis (NOAAGlobalTemp) combines long-term sea surface (water) temperature (SST) and land surface (air) temperature datasets to create a complete, accurate depiction of global temperature trends. Data for global temperature is reviewed by ForecastEx at the end of each year. Data is measured in degrees Celsius above the 20th century average of 13.9 degrees Celsius.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 1Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.05Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.05 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.1Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.15Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.15 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • 1.20Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.25Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.25 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • 1.30Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.3 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.35Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.35 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • 1.40Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.4 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • Above 1.45Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.45 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.
  • 1.50Resolves Yes if the average Global Temperature in 2027 is greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Jan 10, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 14, 2028
Expected result
Jan 14, 2028
Expected payout
Jan 14, 2028

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.